April 26, 2024

Do you buy the dip?

Index & Sector performance 1/28/14 The Market: In the overnight session the futures managed to recover gaining nearly 20 points from Monday’s lows.  When the Durables number was announced and came in much worse than expected the market puled back challenging support but that support held and by the open the market was back near the pre-market highs.  The remainder of the day the S&P 500 stayed in a relatively tight trading range with all of the major indices closing higher. In Economic news the Durable Goods numbers came in much worse than expected with Core Durable Goods Orders posting…

LULU warns and market dives

Index & Sector performance 1/13/14 The Market: The S&P 500 meandered throughout the Sunday evening session, into Monday and even to start the trading day but then around noon EST weakness started to set in and continued to build.  Around 2:30 pm EST we had reached R2 support in the future but we posted at StockTwits that this support did not look like it would hold due to the MACD’s formation.  That support was indeed lost and the S&P 500 futures (ES) lost another 10 points to the day’s lows and 5 points to the close overall netting a 20+…

Triple witching tomorrrow

Index & Sector performance 12/19/13 The Market: Today trading range was rather tight after yesterday’s explosion with the entire day’s range in the S&P 500 only about 9 points.  Tomorrow will be options expiration and a Triple Witching which can come with some volatility. In economic data today we sub a much worse than expected Unemployment claims number come in at 379K when 366K was expected.  Other key data also underperformed expectations with Existing Home Sales missing expectations (4.9M vs. 5.04M) and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (7 vs. 10.3).  Tomorrow we get GDP and Monday 12/23 we have Core PCE,…

The Taper begins…

Index & Sector performance 12/18/13 The Market: A strong day in the market with the gains all coming after the 2 pm EST FOMC report.   The S&P 500 was in a holding pattern until just before the report when it started to drop lower.  After the report there was a quick spike lower (likely on the headline of bond buying decreasing) and the S&P 500 tagged the 50 day SMA where the index then bottomed and ripped higher. From Peak to Trough the S&P 500 gained rouhgly43 points! In economic news today we saw Housing Starts handily beat expectations (1.09M…

China fears helped send market lower

Index & Sector performance 10/23/13 The Market: Today was a gap own and meander day where the majority f the losses were seen in very early trading and the rest of the day was mostly choppy. News attributed the drop to tightening fears out of China which sent international markets lower but as we have discussed here the market seemed ripe for a pullback.  More lower.. In economic data there was not too much today with import prices coming in roughly as expected while the Home Price Index was well below expectations (0.3% vs 0.8%) .  Yesterday we had the…

All quiet before jobs data

Index & Sector performance 10/21/13 The Market: Not too much to report as it was a quiet down day in the S&P 500 and Dow with the Nasdaq making small gains much on the back of a strong performance from Apple (AAPL) closing up nearly 2.5% on the day. In economic news we had Existing Home Sales with came in light posting a 5.29M when 5.31M was expected.  Tomorrow will be a much bigger day as we get the jobs report that was delayed due to the government shutdown.  Current forecast is for 182K and Unemployment rate of 7.3% Story…

US Government shuts down and gains open up

Index & Sector performance 10/01/13 The Market: The old market adage Buy the rumor and Sell the news is somewhat in affect here today with the markets reaction to the Government shutdown.  As we noted in last night’s Game Plan, with the realization of the shutdown now in affect and the worry of the shutdown gone, short term longs would look for opportunity to trade a bounce.  A gap up was quickly consolidated after roughly 30 minutes of trading and then pressed higher until 12:30 pm EST. After 12:30 there was a roll over which took the index down until…

Apple, Autos, Earnings & DC

The Market: The markets started off somewhat muted and then took off heading strongly higher and even closing not much off the highs.  Th leader of the day was the Tech sector and inside tech it was Apple (AAPL) that had a strong showing closing up over 2% on the day on analyst upgrades and optimism on multicolored iPhones and lower price points..  Lagging was the Utilities which via the ETF XLU only managed to eek out a small gain. In economic news, the Trade balance came in with a greater deficit than expected while auto sales were stronger than…

Daily Wrap

DJIA -42.55 (-0.28%) to 14,932.41;S&P 500 -0.88 (-0.05%) to 1,614.08;NASDAQ -1.09 (-0.03%) to 3,433.40 The S&P 500 started today looking as though it was going to recover well from yesterday’s late day sell of but again around Noon EST the market lost momentum and declined into 2:30 Pm EST where there was then a bottom and late day small rally which took the major indexes near flat for the day but well off the highs.  In economic data, Total Vehicle sales bested expectations coming in at 16M units sold and tomorrow ADP employment numbers come in with an estimate of 161K.  The official…

Daily Wrap

DJIA –138.85 (-0.94%) to 14,700.95; S&P 500 -14.87 (-0.93%) to 1,582.70; NASDAQ -14.09 (-0.49%) to 2,873.35 Mixed economic data including a bad ADP and construction spending number as well as poor economic data out of China helped send the major indices lower on the open.  After midday, the Fed helped spark a small rally after reiterating their stance to be accommodative and even mentioned they will increase or decrease the pace of purchases in the future as necessary but this only provided a brief recovers and the market proceeded to sell off into the close. In economic news today the calendar was pretty full and started…