Volatility & Chop continues
The Market: Volatility continues to be the name of the game which is why you can have a 40+ point day like today and still have the S&P 500 within a range/wedge. While it is possible that we extend today’s rally by gaping higher tomorrow, it is not our expectation and if we do open higher tomorrow we would watch the downward sloping 20 day SMA as resistance. Overall, a light Economic Calendar this week Thursday and Friday having the most significant data points (Unemployment Claims, PPI, and Consumer Sentiment). Reported EPS 9/8/15 After the Close: …
Dollar ralley continues as Market slides
Index & Sector performance 3/10/15 The Market: A strong down session across the board with no index or sector spared. We noted yesterday that the action to the upside appeared to not have conviction and today the lack of buying turned into selling. Traders pointed to concerns over the eventual rate hike from the Fed and the strength in the Dollar as reasons for concern. We expect to see some form of a bounce as we have started to see positive divergence set-up on the shorter term intraday charts of the S&P 500 (SPY) and NASDAQ (QQQ) but any moves…
Watch out for traps
Index & Sector performance 12/9/14 The Market: The S&P 500 found itself down over 20 points within the first hour plus of trading as traders pointed to concerns over China and Greece. Throughout the early drop the Russell 2000 (IWM) remained strong down only a fraction of the other indices and then was the first to turn positive on the day. The IWM’s resilience continued throughout the remainder of the trading session and finished the clear leader. Today’s action certainly feels like another Bear trap where the market looks as though it is about to start a major prolonged slide…
Low volume give back after 3 solid days
Index & Sector performance 10/22/14 The Market: Today marked a give back after 3 solid days of gains. The leader to the downside was the index that we have been watching closely for the past few weeks, the Russell 2000 (IWM). The IWM’s underperformance throughout the year was a warning just as its outperformance near the recent bottom. The IWM has put in work to find a bottom and start to move off the lows of last week but it is not our of the woods yet in our opinion. First step is remaining above $107 and then the lows…
Russell outperforms in ugly session
Index & Sector performance 10/13/14 The Market: Another 1+% down day across the major indices on the WSC Scoreboard except for the Russell 2000 (IWM) which finished the session down only 0.42%. YTD the IWM is still the clear loser down 9.55% but today’s outperformance is interesting and something to watch. IWM’s underperformance starting earlier in the year was a warning so if it begins to outperform on a consistent basis going forward it should be noted. It does not feel like very long ago when the only down sector on the WSC Scoreboard Was Retail (XRT) but now we…
Tech & Small cap trend change?
Index & Sector performance 9/3/14 The Market: While the Dow (DIA) and S&P 500 (SPY) closed essentially flat, the Nasdaq (QQQ) and Russell 2000 (IWM) both finished decisively lower. In addition the technical action in both the QQQ and IWM is concerning as both started the day gaping above the previous day’s highs to only then sell off the remainder of the day finishing below the previous day’s lows. Those into candlestick charting will recognize this as an Engulfing pattern and can signal a change in trend. In individual sectors it the Utilities (XLU) leading the charge finishing the day…
Small Caps lead move lower
Index & Sector performance 12/11/13 The Market: Strong down day in the market with the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 closing down over 1%. The Russell 2000 has been leading the charge for the year but has underperformed of late including today posting the largest loss at 1.64%. After remaining relatively unchanged in overnight and early morning trading, the market started to slip in the pre-market about an hour before the open. Losses built the remainder of the day with the S&P 500 closing near the lows of the day and through the 20 Day SMA. In economic news…
Daily Wrap
DJIA -2.99 (-0.02%) to 13,245.45; S&P 500 +0.64 (+0.04%) to 1,428.48; NASDAQ -8.49 (-0.28%) to 3,013.81; Today we started with a gap higher which consolidated in an orderly fashion until just after noon when we had the release of the Fed data. The market broke to new highs for the day but then started to give back some of the gains around 2 and then steadily trended lower the last hour finally closing just up for the day after spending a few minutes negative. This would be a classic, buy the rumor and sell the news type action. Even sometimes…