April 26, 2024

3 strong days higher

Index & Sector performance 4/1/14 The Market: Today’s early action targeted our highlighted region from last night’s update of $1875ES and then pulled back to support near $1870ES.  Later in the day the market made another rally toward and pressed through $1875ES and now resides above in the after hours session.  While we are starting to see some intraday negative divergences develop on the market which provide some caution to the recent strong 3 day rally, we fully expect the S&P 500 emini to challenge the highlighted resistance region of $1884-90ES in overnight or early morning trading.  From there we…

Window dressing or more to come?

Index & Sector performance 3/31/14 The Market: The Quarter ends with a nice up session which has some throwing around the term “window dressing”.  While we do not necessarily disagree with the sentiment, we also believe price is the ultimate indicator and therefore today’s action has to be respected.  Otherwise it is ultimately a continuation of the short term consolidation between the highs on the S&P 500 cash at $1883.97 and the 3/14/14 lows of $1839.57. In the very short term the futures appear to be flagging overnight and could look to next target the 1875ES region.  Support is 1862ES…

Monday’s bounce have legs?

Index & Sector performance 3/17/14 The Market: Today’s rally is not unexpected from Friday’s oversold levels and the early continuation to the downside in overnight trading which took us to the low 1820ES levels we were expecting.  Until we see the market get through the 1865-70ES region, this action will be considered only a technical relief rally with more downside/consolidation to come. Economic data to watch for tomorrow is CPI which has core & headline estimates at 0.1% and Building Permits which has an estimate of 0.97M coming off the previous 0.94M. Reporting EPS 3/5/14 Pre-Market:   Analyst Comments:

Daily Wrap

DJIA +65.36 (+0.44%) to 15,112.19;S&P 500 +8.68 (+0.54%) to 1,628.93;NASDAQ +31.24 (+0.92%) to 2,959.50 Monday’s action start hot with a gap higher and a rally in the markets which lasted until roughly noon when we started to dip lower and then the decline started gaining some steam into late day trading.  The highs of the day in the S&P 500 correlated with a first touch of the 50 day SMA which would be expected to be resistance.  Today’s high now should become a key level to watch and if taken out the bulls may be back in control. Merger Monday was in affect…

Week in Review

DJIA +8.37 (+0.06%) to 13,981.76; S&P 500 -1.59 (-0.10%) to 1,519.79; NASDAQ -6.63 (-0.21%) to 3,192.03 A pretty lack luster Friday to close off a lack luster week.  There wasn’t a shortage of events and things the market could use to drive direction one way or the other but it simply chose not to.  The market seems firmly pitted between valuations that may seem somewhat extended and technicals that would like a pullback but the continued accommodating environment from the Fed and also the Government as they continue to run deficits and even if cutting it is slow to not shock the economy.  How the market…

Daily Wrap

DJIA -9.52 (-0.07%) to 13,973.39; S&P 500 +1.05 (+0.07%) to 1,521.38; NASDAQ +1.78 (+0.06%) to 3,198.66 The market has been flexing its muscle and trying to show many different things.  If your a basketball fan you might say the market is trying to show it can take you to the hole and also hit the step back jumped.  The market faced another down move today and ultimately looking back at the chart the first 5 minute bar of the day market the lows.  The market continued a steady climb higher and likely used the Unemployment claims, which came in better than expected (341K vs 361K…

Week in Review

DJIA +149.21 (+1.08%) to 14,009.79; S&P 500 +15.06 (+1.01%) to 1,513.17; NASDAQ +36.97 (+1.18%) to 3,179.10 I have been looking and highlighting a pattern that seemed to be begging for higher prices in the short term and why the stance has been that while ultimately I would like to see a broader pullback/correction to provide the markets a better base to then press higher from again, in the short term it felt that every dip was an opportunity for a long trade.  Friday’s action now for me has brought the S&P 500 into the levels I was looking for and…

Daily Wrap

DJIA -49.84 (-0.36%) to 13,860.58; S&P 500 -3.85 (-0.26%) to 1,498.11; NASDAQ -0.18 (-0.01%) to 3,142.13 Today’s action all maintained in a narrow range as the market’s seem to be waiting for tomorrow’s non-farm payroll report.  We had Unemployment claims come in slightly above expectations but after factoring in the previous two weeks wide beats it all averages out to still be positive as of late.  We had other economic data and as always you can visit the Event’s Calendar for the release of economic data, scheduled meetings and other news that could move the market. With such a narrow day it…

Daily Wrap

DJIA -55.44 (-0.4%) to 13,328.85; SPX -4.74 (-0.3%) to 1,457.15; NASDAQ -7.01 (-0.2%) to 3,091.81 Today’s action was as expected and a continuation of the consolidation.  Early morning trading was only down roughly 2 points in the S&P but by midday we were roughly 10 points lower until finally bottoming and closing the down down 4.  Otherwise there wasn’t much Market news and even the fed minutes showed everything roughly remained the same in voting patterns. In the news today was Signet Jewelers (SIG) which gained over 9% on news that holiday season same-store sales rose 3.3% and also on earnings guidance that Wall Street…